BASSETERRE, St. Kitts, September 14, 2017 (Press Unit in the Office of the Prime Minister) – Secondary school students living in those islands that were severely affected by the passage of category five Hurricane Irma, and who are registered to sit Caribbean Examination Council (CXC) exams, are being offered accommodation to continue their studies in St. Kitts and Nevis on a temporary basis. Continue reading “St Kitts Nevis to accept High School Students from Irma ravage Anguilla, St. Maarten and the BVI who are registered for upcoming CXC exams.”
Bob Henson · July 4, 2017, 7:21 PM
While Americans celebrated a holiday on Tuesday, the tropical wave known as Invest 94L stayed on task in the central tropical Atlantic, where models indicated it could become a tropical storm as soon as Wednesday. As of 2 pm EDT Tuesday, 94L was located near 10°N, 34°W, where it had moved little since Monday.
Top sustained winds associated with 94L on Tuesday afternoon were 35 mph, just below the tropical storm threshold. However, the system remained embedded in the Intertropical Convergence Zone, the west-to-east band of heavy thunderstorms that predominates just north of the equator this time of year. The ITCZ was lending 94L plenty of broad cyclonic motion extending out more than 400 miles, as revealed in surface winds detected by the ASCAT scatterometer, but the presence of the ITCZ was also making it difficult for a low-level core to establish itself. Northeasterly wind shear of around 20 knots also impeded development late Monday into early Tuesday. Showers and thunderstorms were extensive but not well organized on Tuesday afternoon.
Working in 94L’s favor is its moist environment. The system has successfully avoided entraining large amounts of the dry air lying just to its north within the Saharan Air Layer (SAL). The environment immediately around 94L should remain fairly moist (with midlevel relative humidities of 70-80%) for the next couple of days. Sea surface temperatures along the path of 94L will remain adequate for tropical development—around 27-28°C (81-82°F), or about 0.5°C above average.
Conditions should become more favorable for 94L over the next day or two. Wind shear was already dropping by Tuesday afternoon, and the shear was predicted by the 18Z Tuesday run of the SHIPS model to drop below 10 knots by Wednesday night. The shear should remain low for several more days as the system begins moving toward the west-northwest, which will pull it away from the ITCZ and help it establish a more distinct center. Model guidance increasingly agrees that 94L will likely become a tropical storm. All 70 members of the 0Z Tuesday GFS and European ensembles bring 94L to tropical depression strength by late Wednesday, and all GFS members—plus about 80% of ECMWF members—produce a tropical storm by late week. The next name on the Atlantic list is Don.
While the odds of a tropical storm this week are quite high, the chance of a hurricane appears low. Less than 10% of GFS and European ensemble members bring 94L to hurricane strength. Dry air seems to be the main impediment: as 94L angles more toward the west-northwest, it will likely ingest more of the dry air associated with the SAL. If the system can wall itself off from the arid environment and maintain a moist inner core, it will have a better chance at more sustained strengthening.
There’s been little change in the longer-range scenario for 94L outlined in Monday’s post. A strong ridge of high pressure should steer the system mostly west-northwest at 5 – 15 mph for the next five days, which would bring the storm near or north of the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands this weekend. We’ll need to watch this path for potential impacts to the islands, especially if the track falls toward the southern end of the possibilities in the ECMWF ensemble runs.
The main question for next week is whether we’ll see a weak system continuing west-northwest and perhaps dissipating along the way (a solution favored by many members of the 0Z Monday European ensemble) or a potentially stronger system angling more to the northwest, toward the Bahamas and perhaps further north (as depicted by a number of GFS ensemble members). A broad weakness in the flow across eastern North America will sharpen over the weekend, then flatten early next week before potentially sharpening again. It’s too soon to know how the timing of these features might shape the path of whatever 94L has become by that point. Happy Fourth to all of our U.S. readers!
Dr. Jeff Masters contributed to this post.
The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.
WU meteorologist Bob Henson, co-editor of Category 6, is the author of “Meteorology Today” and “The Thinking Person’s Guide to Climate Change.” Before joining WU, he was a longtime writer and editor at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO. Twitter: @bhensonweather. Contact: Bob Henson
Written By: Ishton W. Morton – March 28th, 2017
Although Oscar Bedolla, Director of Cincinnati’s Economic Development have said; “We have created a policy that will support community-orientated grocery retailers to open in new neighborhoods and ensure the city provides the right amount of assistance to overcome barriers in food desert communities.”
Studies show that certain racial groups are disproportionately affected by obesity. These problems may be worse in some U.S. communities because access to affordable and nutritious food is difficult.
Continue reading “Addressing and Combating the Insecurity of Food Deserts”
Written By: Ishton W. Morton – March 28th, 2017
The 114th Congressional Black Caucus Officers has issued its solutions to advance Black Families in the 21st century. They have introduced it by calling it “WE HAVE A LOT TO LOSE. They have viewed tax cuts as a process for the super rich to get richer. In their lamentation(s) they are saying the leadership; “Do not Cut Taxes for the Super Rich!” Continue reading “Do not Cut Taxes for the Super Rich”
Published by: Contributing Editor
BASSETERRE, ST. KITTS, March 22nd 2017 – The United States Department of State has listed St. Kitts and Nevis among the Eastern Caribbean states, that host abundant trans-shipment points for illicit narcotics primarily from Venezuela destined for North American, European and domestic Caribbean markets.
Continue reading “St. Kitts-Nevis listed as shipment point for illicit narcotics from Venezuela to North America, Europe and the Caribbean”
Written By: Ishton W. Morton – March 10th, 2017
Predicated on indictment handed down by Hamilton County Prosecutor Joseph T. Deters on March 9th, 2017 against Shannon Merritt if convicted, he could face more than 40 years in prison.
Continue reading “Hamilton County Prosecutor Joseph T. Deters Announced Rape Indictment”
Michelle Alexander: White Men Get Rich from Legal Pot, Black Men Stay in Prison
For 40 years, poor communities of color have experienced the wrath of the war on drugs.
Ever since Colorado and Washington made the unprecedented move to legalize recreational pot last year, excitement and stories of unfettered success have billowed into the air. Colorado’s marijuana tax revenue far exceeded expectations, bringing a whopping $185 million to the state, and tourists are lining up to taste the budding culture (pun intended). Several other states are now looking to follow suit and legalize. Continue reading “Michelle Alexander: White Men Get Rich from Legal Pot, Black Men Stay in Prison”
Written By: Ishton W. Morton – February 22nd, 2017
I am extremely bewildered. However, I’m reminded of an ecclesiastical account that is found in Luke 12:47 of King James Bible which says; “And that servant, which knew his lord’s will, and prepared not himself, neither did according to his will, shall be beaten with many stripes..”
Continue reading “Former Hamilton County Assistant Prosecutor Arrested”
Written By: Ishton W. Morton – February 18th, 2016
Roadside memorial markers that commemorates site where person(s) died suddenly as results of violent crimes or murders are completely unacceptable.
Seemingly, signs like these are becoming as popular as grave site headstone and are increasing at an alarming rate in our neighborhoods.
Subsequently, these types of roadside or street memorial marks the last place on earth where a person was alive. Under these circumstances these roadside or street memorials are statement of grief and love from the loved ones of the murdered victim(s). Continue reading “Increased Neighborhood Roadside’s Memorials”
Written By: Ishton W. Morton – February 10th, 2017
As we get older, we all tends to be more concerned with better health. One of the major concern is the issue of high blood pressure and you’ll be astonished to know some of the things that can be utilized in the struggle to reducing high blood pressure.
Evidently, we’ve all heard the old adage, “An apple a day keeps the doctor away” or the aphorism dating back to 1866 that originally appeared in a Welsh publication as “Eat an apple on going to bed and you’ll keep the doctor from earning his bread.” Continue reading “Apple Cider Vinegar And Lower Blood Pressure”