What Are The Facts?

Written: By Ishton W. Morton – October 9th, 2017

Christopher Columbus in the Americas on October 12, 1492

Columbus Day is a U.S. holiday that commemorates the landing of Christopher Columbus in the Americas on October 12, 1492. It was unofficially celebrated in a number of cities and states as early as the 18th century, but did not become a federal holiday until 1937.For many, the holiday is a way of both honoring Columbus’ achievements and celebrating Italian-American heritage. But throughout its history, Columbus Day and the man who inspired it have generated controversy, and many alternatives to the holiday have proposed since the 1970s.
Continue reading “What Are The Facts?”

Cranley Believes In The Dignity Of Work

Written By: Ishton W. Morton October 4th, 2017

Predicated on a recent communication with Mayor John Cranley’s office it is an under statement to say “Cranley believes there is dignity in work.”

Cincinnati, Mayor John Cranley

Accordingly Cranley have stated over and over that there is great dignity in doing a job everyday that enables you to support yourself, provide for your family and live a life you can be proud of. That is why a hallmark of our administration has been job growth, job training, and helping people earn a living wage. He has implemented a strategy that says yes to jobs and yes to investing in the City of Cincinnati’s workforce. Continue reading “Cranley Believes In The Dignity Of Work”

Killer-Clown Cold Case Leads to Arrest of Woman at Center of Florida Love Triangle

by ALEX JOHNSON

Sheila Keen Warren, 54, was arrested without incident in Washington County, Virginia

Twenty-seven years after a clown carrying flowers and two balloons shot a woman to death at her front door, Florida authorities announced an arrest in one of the more bizarre cold case investigations in a state known for bizarre crimes. Continue reading “Killer-Clown Cold Case Leads to Arrest of Woman at Center of Florida Love Triangle”

“Shameful” move by St Kitts-Nevis following Hurricane Maria

Mahdi Mohammed, CEO of Guide Consultants, who was in Dominica during Hurricane Maria, surveys the devastation in Roseau

BASSETERRE, St Kits — A press release issued on Saturday by the Citizenship by Investment Unit (CIU) in St Kitts and Nevis announcing a drastic 50 percent cut in the investment requirement for its citizenship by investment (CBI) program, ostensibly to create a “hurricane relief fund”, has drawn widespread condemnation, including one CBI consultant who described the move as shameful. Continue reading ““Shameful” move by St Kitts-Nevis following Hurricane Maria”

St Kitts Nevis to accept High School Students from Irma ravage Anguilla, St. Maarten and the BVI who are registered for upcoming CXC exams.

September 15, 2017

St Kitts Nevis to accept High School Students from Irma ravage Anguilla, St. Maarten and the BVI who are registered for upcoming CXC exams.

BASSETERRE, St. Kitts, September 14, 2017 (Press Unit in the Office of the Prime Minister) – Secondary school students living in those islands that were severely affected by the passage of category five Hurricane Irma, and who are registered to sit Caribbean Examination Council (CXC) exams, are being offered accommodation to continue their studies in St. Kitts and Nevis on a temporary basis. Continue reading “St Kitts Nevis to accept High School Students from Irma ravage Anguilla, St. Maarten and the BVI who are registered for upcoming CXC exams.”

Hurricane Irma: St Kitts Nevis blessed, pitied or trigger-happy?

 

September 08, 2017

By Johnella Evelyn

Johnella Evelyn

The eye of hurricane Irma caused catastrophic damages to our neighboring islands but for us, St. Kitts and Nevis, it should be an eye opener. Ponder with me for a moment. Why were we spared from the wrath of Irma? Are we any more “blessed” than Barbuda, St. Martin or Anguilla? 

From a geographical vantage point, the Queen of the Caribbean is hidden in the center of the other Northern Leeward Islands and was “protected” by St. Martin and Anguilla in the North West, Barbuda in the North East, Antigua in the East. These surrounding islands took the brunt of the blow while sheltering us from Irma. Continue reading “Hurricane Irma: St Kitts Nevis blessed, pitied or trigger-happy?”

Slowly but Surely, 94L Organizing in Tropical Atlantic

Bob Henson  ·  July 4, 2017, 7:21 PM

The enhanced infrared satellite image of extensive showers and thunderstorms surrounding the system dubbed Invest 94L (symbol “I” in center of map) in the central tropical Atlantic at 1830Z (2:30 pm EDT) Tuesday, July 4, 2017. Image credit: CIMMS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin–Madison

While Americans celebrated a holiday on Tuesday, the tropical wave known as Invest 94L stayed on task in the central tropical Atlantic, where models indicated it could become a tropical storm as soon as Wednesday. As of 2 pm EDT Tuesday, 94L was located near 10°N, 34°W, where it had moved little since Monday.

Top sustained winds associated with 94L on Tuesday afternoon were 35 mph, just below the tropical storm threshold. However, the system remained embedded in the Intertropical Convergence Zone, the west-to-east band of heavy thunderstorms that predominates just north of the equator this time of year. The ITCZ was lending 94L plenty of broad cyclonic motion extending out more than 400 miles, as revealed in surface winds detected by the ASCAT scatterometer, but the presence of the ITCZ was also making it difficult for a low-level core to establish itself. Northeasterly wind shear of around 20 knots also impeded development late Monday into early Tuesday. Showers and thunderstorms were extensive but not well organized on Tuesday afternoon.

Working in 94L’s favor is its moist environment. The system has successfully avoided entraining large amounts of the dry air lying just to its north within the Saharan Air Layer (SAL). The environment immediately around 94L should remain fairly moist (with midlevel relative humidities of 70-80%) for the next couple of days. Sea surface temperatures along the path of 94L will remain adequate for tropical development—around 27-28°C (81-82°F), or about 0.5°C above average.

Figure 1. Invest 94L in the Central Atlantic as seen on Tuesday morning, July 4, 2017, by the MODIS instrument on NASA’s Terra satellite. Image credit: NASA.
The outlook for 94L

Conditions should become more favorable for 94L over the next day or two. Wind shear was already dropping by Tuesday afternoon, and the shear was predicted by the 18Z Tuesday run of the SHIPS model to drop below 10 knots by Wednesday night. The shear should  remain low for several more days as the system begins moving toward the west-northwest, which will pull it away from the ITCZ and help it establish a more distinct center. Model guidance increasingly agrees that 94L will likely become a tropical storm. All 70 members of the 0Z Tuesday GFS and European ensembles bring 94L to tropical depression strength by late Wednesday, and all GFS members—plus about 80% of ECMWF members—produce a tropical storm by late week.  The next name on the Atlantic list is Don.

While the odds of a tropical storm this week are quite high, the chance of a hurricane appears low. Less than 10% of GFS and European ensemble members bring 94L to hurricane strength. Dry air seems to be the main impediment: as 94L angles more toward the west-northwest, it will likely ingest more of the dry air associated with the SAL. If the system can wall itself off from the arid environment and maintain a moist inner core, it will have a better chance at more sustained strengthening.

Figure 2. A pocket of moisture (cool colors) surrounds the center of 94L in this prediction of total precipitable water (the amount of moisture in a column above the surface, in millimeters) and surface pressure (solid lines, in millibars). The forecast, for 8:00 pm EDT Wednesday, July 5, was generated by the 12Z Tuesday run of the GFS model. Image credit: tropicaltidbits.com.

There’s been little change in the longer-range scenario for 94L outlined in Monday’s post.  A strong ridge of high pressure should steer the system mostly west-northwest at 5 – 15 mph for the next five days, which would bring the storm near or north of the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands this weekend. We’ll need to watch this path for potential impacts to the islands, especially if the track falls toward the southern end of the possibilities in the ECMWF ensemble runs.

The main question for next week is whether we’ll see a weak system continuing west-northwest and perhaps dissipating along the way (a solution favored by many members of the 0Z Monday European ensemble) or a potentially stronger system angling more to the northwest, toward the Bahamas and perhaps further north (as depicted by a number of GFS ensemble members).  A broad weakness in the flow across eastern North America will sharpen over the weekend, then flatten early next week before potentially sharpening again. It’s too soon to know how the timing of these features might shape the path of whatever 94L has become by that point.   Happy Fourth to all of our U.S. readers!

Dr. Jeff Masters contributed to this post.

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

Bob Henson

WU meteorologist Bob Henson, co-editor of Category 6, is the author of “Meteorology Today” and “The Thinking Person’s Guide to Climate Change.” Before joining WU, he was a longtime writer and editor at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO. Twitter: @bhensonweather. Contact: Bob Henson

 

Nevis Education Minister Launches Child Month 2016

Hon. Vance Amory, Premier of Nevis and Minister of Education in the Nevis Island Administration (file photo)

NIA CHARLESTOWN NEVIS (May 31, 2016) — The following is an address delivered by Premier of Nevis and Minister of Education in the Nevis Island Administration (NIA) Hon. Vance Amory, on May 31, 2016, to launch Child Month 2016. The month commences on June 01, 2016. Continue reading “Nevis Education Minister Launches Child Month 2016”

Cincinnati Police and Fire Department(s) Responded to Crime Scene

Written By: Ishton W. Morton – April 7th, 2017

Hamilton County Prosecutor Joseph T. Deters announced indictment(s) of Cornell Beckley

Coping with the loss of loved-one is one of life’s biggest challenges. However in cases where a parent must cope with the loss of a loved-one to ridiculous murders such as occurred  on Sunday, March 26th shooting at Cameo Nightclub is probably exceedingly painful beyond  compare.   Continue reading “Cincinnati Police and Fire Department(s) Responded to Crime Scene”

No Compassion for Donald Harvey

Written By: Ishton W. Morton – March 31st, 2017

No Compassion for Donald Harvey

Donald Harvey was born in Hamilton, Ohio, just outside the City of Cincinnati, on April 15th, 1952. A short time later, his family relocated to the tiny Appalachia, town Booneville, Kentucky. It was said that he grew up in a poor family and dropped out of school in ninth grade.. A question I’ve always asked with just a ninth grade education; how was he able to get that job?   Continue reading “No Compassion for Donald Harvey”